Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.5%). Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Danault 54.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Lowry
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Danault
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Lowry
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
55.0% (1,008)
+1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
65.7% (99)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
47.6% (229)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Danault is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danault
Home
57.8% (341)
53.0% (677)
Away
49.4% (308)
56.0% (659)
By Period
Lowry
Danault
P1
53.2%
50.6%
P2
54.4%
55.8%
P3
53.0%
57.0%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |