Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Danault 53.3% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 77.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 71.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 79.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Mercer
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Mercer
Danault
Last 6: Mercer 1-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Mercer
Danault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Mercer
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
54.0% (985)
-18.6%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
61.1% (131)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
43.8% (146)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Mercer
Danault
Home
39.9% (283)
54.7% (636)
Away
31.3% (307)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Mercer
Danault
P1
37.7%
54.1%
P2
32.1%
54.3%
P3
37.7%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |