Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Danault 52.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 64.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 74.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 53.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Ryan
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ryan
Danault
Last 7: Ryan 2-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Ryan
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
52.6% (574)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
63.6% (44)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
49.0% (102)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Danault is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Ryan
Danault
Home
56.7% (466)
56.8% (382)
Away
56.3% (474)
48.2% (338)
By Period
Ryan
Danault
P1
55.4%
54.4%
P2
58.1%
55.1%
P3
55.8%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |