Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Danault 54.8% (-19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 56.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 89.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 65.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Hughes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hughes
Danault
Last 9: Hughes 5-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Hughes
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Hughes
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
56.5% (711)
-19.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
46.0% (50)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.7% (116)
-18.4%
On power play, Danault has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Hughes
Danault
Home
35.1% (148)
57.0% (379)
Away
37.4% (131)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Hughes
Danault
P1
43.0%
55.8%
P2
28.7%
55.3%
P3
35.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
28.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |