Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.7% vs Danault 54.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 50.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Staal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Danault
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Staal
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (939)
56.5% (711)
-0.3%
Power Play
66.9% (139)
46.0% (50)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (239)
51.7% (116)
-8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Staal shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Staal
Danault
Home
55.4% (663)
57.0% (379)
Away
54.7% (654)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Staal
Danault
P1
54.9%
55.8%
P2
55.1%
55.3%
P3
54.0%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |