Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Danault 54.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 53.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Eller
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Eller
Danault
Last 9: Eller 4-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Eller
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
56.5% (711)
+0.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
46.0% (50)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
51.7% (116)
+4.8%
On power play, Eller has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Eller
Danault
Home
53.1% (211)
57.0% (379)
Away
59.7% (278)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Eller
Danault
P1
55.4%
55.8%
P2
58.1%
55.3%
P3
57.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |