Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Danault 54.0% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 84.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 55.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Schmaltz
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schmaltz
Danault
Last 6: Schmaltz 3-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Schmaltz
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
55.1% (953)
-17.4%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
64.6% (144)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
42.0% (176)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Danault
Home
34.7% (49)
55.4% (641)
Away
45.1% (51)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Schmaltz
Danault
P1
25.9%
61.0%
P2
46.2%
52.3%
P3
42.1%
51.3%
OT
46.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
34.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 23, 2022 | OT | 00:35 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |