Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Danault 51.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 63.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 63.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Cates
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cates
Danault
Last 7: Cates 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Cates
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
0
Cates
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cates
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
52.6% (895)
-8.3%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
55.7% (97)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
45.5% (165)
-13.8%
On power play, Cates has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Cates
Danault
Home
52.0% (148)
54.0% (581)
Away
38.5% (182)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Cates
Danault
P1
42.7%
53.7%
P2
42.9%
55.3%
P3
48.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Noah Cates |