Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 55.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 62.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Danault
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Danault
Johansen
Last 7: Danault 1-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Danault
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Danault
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (953)
59.8% (625)
-4.7%
Power Play
64.6% (144)
58.2% (196)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (176)
51.9% (27)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Danault shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Danault
Johansen
Home
55.4% (641)
60.3% (436)
Away
53.3% (632)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Danault
Johansen
P1
61.0%
61.3%
P2
52.3%
60.4%
P3
51.3%
56.0%
OT
35.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |