Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Danault wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Johansen 52.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 53.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 54.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 59.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Danault
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Danault
Johansen
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
4
2
Danault
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
4
3
Danault
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
0
Danault
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
51.9% (597)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
57.9% (133)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
54.3% (81)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Danault shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Danault
Johansen
Home
54.0% (581)
55.8% (387)
Away
49.7% (576)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Danault
Johansen
P1
53.7%
50.0%
P2
55.3%
56.2%
P3
46.5%
52.6%
OT
46.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |