Phillip Danault vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 59.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 67.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 57.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Danault 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
5
2
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
50.3% (479)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
50.0% (28)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
30.0% (50)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.2% (605)
48.9% (270)
Away
53.2% (611)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.1%
48.7%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
54.3%
47.3%
OT
20.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |