Phillip Danault vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 45-29 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 70.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 94.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 91.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
29
(74 meetings)
45
29
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
9
11
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
10
8
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
26
10
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,447)
44.9% (8,756)
+8.7%
Power Play
61.4% (757)
50.7% (839)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,702)
37.9% (879)
+9.5%
On power play, Danault has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Danault shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.2% (5,820)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.3% (6,086)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Danault
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.7%
45.1%
P2
53.5%
43.9%
P3
52.7%
45.3%
OT
49.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |