Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 63.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 79.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 82.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Danault
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Danault
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
42.6% (324)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
31.3% (16)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
43.8% (16)
+1.7%
On power play, Danault has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Danault shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Danault
Lafferty
Home
54.0% (581)
40.9% (181)
Away
49.7% (576)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Danault
Lafferty
P1
53.7%
42.2%
P2
55.3%
36.4%
P3
46.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |