Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 62.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 61.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 61.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Danault
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Danault
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
50.7% (144)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
50.0% (2)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
50.0% (10)
-2.4%
On power play, Danault has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Danault shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Danault
Lafferty
Home
51.2% (605)
53.2% (62)
Away
53.2% (611)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Danault
Lafferty
P1
53.1%
53.3%
P2
49.8%
46.7%
P3
54.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |