Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 51.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Danault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Danault
Kuraly
Last 6: Danault 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Danault
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
49.4% (445)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
100.0% (3)
-44.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
41.9% (117)
+3.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Danault shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Danault
Kuraly
Home
54.0% (581)
49.2% (248)
Away
49.7% (576)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Danault
Kuraly
P1
53.7%
48.3%
P2
55.3%
44.7%
P3
46.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |