Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 77.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 64.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Danault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Danault
Kuraly
Last 10: Danault 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
4
1
Danault
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Danault
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
51.8% (444)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
45.3% (150)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Danault
Kuraly
Home
57.0% (379)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.0% (498)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Danault
Kuraly
P1
55.8%
55.2%
P2
55.3%
45.7%
P3
54.8%
49.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |