Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Monahan 54.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 60.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 57.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Danault
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Danault
Monahan
Last 5: Danault 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Danault
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
57.1% (871)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
53.1% (262)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
44.6% (139)
+0.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Danault shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Danault
Monahan
Home
54.0% (581)
55.3% (644)
Away
49.7% (576)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Danault
Monahan
P1
53.7%
53.9%
P2
55.3%
55.3%
P3
46.5%
54.4%
OT
46.2%
76.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |