Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 65.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Danault
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Danault
Monahan
Last 6: Danault 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Danault
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
52.4% (853)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
58.6% (174)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
46.5% (144)
+1.1%
On power play, Danault has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Danault
Monahan
Home
51.2% (605)
53.4% (624)
Away
53.2% (611)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Danault
Monahan
P1
53.1%
53.7%
P2
49.8%
52.4%
P3
54.3%
51.6%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |