Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Zegras 43.3% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 63.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 88.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 73.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Danault
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danault
Zegras
Last 5: Danault 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
39.8% (128)
+12.8%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
22.2% (9)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Danault shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Danault
Zegras
Home
54.0% (581)
29.7% (74)
Away
49.7% (576)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Danault
Zegras
P1
53.7%
40.7%
P2
55.3%
35.1%
P3
46.5%
41.0%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |