Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 63.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 86.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 75.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Danault
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danault
Zegras
Last 5: Danault 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Danault
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
0
Danault
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
36.5% (156)
+15.9%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
40.7% (27)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
0.0% (3)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Danault
Zegras
Home
51.2% (605)
38.9% (113)
Away
53.2% (611)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Danault
Zegras
P1
53.1%
40.0%
P2
49.8%
38.1%
P3
54.3%
31.6%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |