Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Dubois 45.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 88.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Lowry
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Dubois
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
44.4% (753)
+11.8%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
52.9% (34)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
38.9% (18)
+4.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Dubois is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dubois
Home
57.8% (341)
47.0% (436)
Away
49.4% (308)
41.7% (369)
By Period
Lowry
Dubois
P1
53.2%
46.3%
P2
54.4%
39.3%
P3
53.0%
48.8%
OT
80.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |