Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Dubois 49.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 65.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 70.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Hughes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hughes
Dubois
Last 6: Hughes 1-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
Hughes
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Hughes
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
46.2% (225)
-9.4%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
66.7% (27)
-52.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
75.0% (8)
-41.7%
On power play, Dubois has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dubois
Home
35.1% (148)
46.6% (163)
Away
37.4% (131)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Hughes
Dubois
P1
43.0%
45.0%
P2
28.7%
52.3%
P3
35.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
28.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |