Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Dubois 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 55.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McBain
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McBain
Dubois
Last 8: McBain 2-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
McBain
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
McBain
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
McBain
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
49.3% (842)
-3.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.1% (35)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
55.6% (9)
-17.8%
On power play, Dubois has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
McBain
Dubois
Home
50.6% (330)
51.0% (445)
Away
39.7% (320)
48.3% (441)
By Period
McBain
Dubois
P1
45.4%
50.3%
P2
44.5%
49.5%
P3
45.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |