Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Strome 42.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 58.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Dubois
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dubois
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Dubois
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Dubois
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
41.2% (1,040)
+8.6%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
43.0% (151)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
51.4% (35)
+1.9%
On even strength, Dubois has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dubois is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Dubois shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Dubois
Strome
Home
48.3% (582)
40.1% (581)
Away
51.1% (579)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Dubois
Strome
P1
52.0%
41.4%
P2
49.9%
42.9%
P3
46.9%
40.5%
OT
64.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |