Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Pinto 50.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 63.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 67.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 57.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Dubois
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Dubois
Pinto
Last 9: Dubois 7-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
0
Dubois
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
50.4% (779)
-0.6%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
55.2% (29)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
44.9% (78)
+8.4%
On power play, Pinto has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Dubois is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Dubois shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Dubois
Pinto
Home
48.3% (582)
52.4% (454)
Away
51.1% (579)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Dubois
Pinto
P1
52.0%
48.1%
P2
49.9%
52.9%
P3
46.9%
49.3%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |