Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.5% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 76.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.0%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Suter
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Suter
Carpenter
Last 10: Suter 8-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
4
1
Suter
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Suter
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
4
0
Suter
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (299)
48.8% (404)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.9% (56)
100.0% (1)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
43.6% (101)
+10.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Suter is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Suter shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Suter
Carpenter
Home
51.7% (172)
48.9% (274)
Away
47.3% (205)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Suter
Carpenter
P1
48.2%
51.9%
P2
49.3%
49.4%
P3
51.2%
41.8%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |