Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 55.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 78.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 71.7%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Suter
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Suter
Carpenter
Last 10: Suter 8-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
4
1
Suter
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Suter
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
4
0
Suter
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
49.6% (2,027)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
41.5% (41)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
43.9% (467)
-3.6%
On power play, Suter has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Suter shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Suter
Carpenter
Home
46.8% (1,804)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Suter
Carpenter
P1
46.6%
49.6%
P2
46.0%
47.7%
P3
46.1%
48.0%
OT
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |