Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 73.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 66.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 79.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Suter
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Suter
Steel
Last 10: Suter 8-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
4
0
Suter
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
4
1
Suter
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
50.6% (2,876)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
62.6% (179)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
37.4% (254)
+2.9%
On power play, Steel has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Suter shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Suter
Steel
Home
46.8% (1,804)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Suter
Steel
P1
46.6%
51.9%
P2
46.0%
49.5%
P3
46.1%
49.6%
OT
44.4%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Pius Suter |