Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.6% vs Aho 50.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 71.3%
Neutral zone
Suter 54.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Suter
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Suter
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Suter
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (357)
49.9% (851)
+0.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
53.5% (144)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (79)
43.3% (60)
-2.8%
On power play, Aho has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Suter shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Suter
Aho
Home
48.0% (223)
53.2% (554)
Away
48.5% (229)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Suter
Aho
P1
48.9%
49.1%
P2
47.3%
50.8%
P3
49.7%
49.7%
OT
25.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |