Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Suter wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Aho 51.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 72.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 82.4%
Neutral zone
Suter 67.9%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Suter
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Suter
Aho
Last 10: Suter 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
9
Suter
Aho
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
7
10
Suter
Aho
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Suter
Aho
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
50.1% (6,619)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
46.3% (464)
-6.0%
On power play, Aho has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Suter shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Suter
Aho
Home
46.8% (1,804)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Suter
Aho
P1
46.6%
51.1%
P2
46.0%
52.0%
P3
46.1%
50.7%
OT
44.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Pius Suter |