Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 47.4% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 56.6%
Defensive zone
Suter 74.4%
Neutral zone
Suter 59.1%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Suter
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Suter
Aho
Last 8: Suter 3-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Suter
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Suter
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (421)
48.5% (778)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
63.4% (191)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (32)
50.8% (65)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Suter shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Suter
Aho
Home
48.6% (183)
51.3% (530)
Away
45.6% (274)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Suter
Aho
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
46.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Pius Suter |