Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Suter wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.6% vs Stamkos 54.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 65.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Suter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Suter
Stamkos
Last 8: Suter 5-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
2
Suter
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (357)
55.8% (339)
-5.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
53.3% (90)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (79)
62.5% (8)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suter is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Suter shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Suter
Stamkos
Home
48.0% (223)
53.4% (208)
Away
48.5% (229)
57.2% (229)
By Period
Suter
Stamkos
P1
48.9%
55.3%
P2
47.3%
52.5%
P3
49.7%
58.9%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Stamkos
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |