Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Suter wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.6% vs Stamkos 56.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 89.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 69.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Suter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Suter
Stamkos
Last 8: Suter 5-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
2
Suter
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (439)
57.6% (439)
-7.3%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
58.6% (111)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (94)
50.0% (10)
-10.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suter is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Suter shoots left. Stamkos is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Suter
Stamkos
Home
47.4% (268)
55.3% (255)
Away
49.3% (284)
59.7% (305)
By Period
Suter
Stamkos
P1
48.8%
58.6%
P2
48.4%
54.4%
P3
49.0%
60.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Stamkos
72.0%▲
61.5%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |