Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 43.3% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 86.5%
Defensive zone
Suter 62.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 68.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Suter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Suter
Stamkos
Last 7: Suter 4-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Suter
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (740)
49.3% (670)
-6.9%
Power Play
48.0% (75)
53.7% (121)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (59)
33.3% (3)
+4.0%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Suter shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Suter
Stamkos
Home
41.8% (407)
54.0% (400)
Away
43.3% (467)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Suter
Stamkos
P1
44.7%
48.6%
P2
41.5%
54.5%
P3
41.9%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |