Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings). Suter wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 86.4%
Defensive zone
Suter 79.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 78.1%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Suter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
30
(48 meetings)
18
30
Suter
Stamkos
Last 10: Suter 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
12
Suter
Stamkos
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
15
Suter
Stamkos
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Suter
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
50.4% (9,799)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
55.1% (1,725)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
49.7% (825)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Suter shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Suter
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (1,804)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Suter
Stamkos
P1
46.6%
49.1%
P2
46.0%
52.7%
P3
46.1%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Pius Suter |