Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suter wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 43.3% vs Hertl 55.4% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 75.6%
Neutral zone
Suter 56.7%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Suter
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Suter
Hertl
Last 9: Suter 4-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Suter
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
4
1
Suter
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Suter
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (740)
54.1% (717)
-11.7%
Power Play
48.0% (75)
61.9% (210)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (59)
58.1% (31)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Suter shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Suter
Hertl
Home
41.8% (407)
58.1% (492)
Away
43.3% (467)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Suter
Hertl
P1
44.7%
57.1%
P2
41.5%
54.0%
P3
41.9%
56.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Pius Suter |