Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Suter wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Hertl 54.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.6%
Defensive zone
Suter 52.4%
Neutral zone
Suter 51.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Suter
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Suter
Hertl
Last 10: Suter 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
7
Suter
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
9
5
Suter
Hertl
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Suter
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
53.8% (8,268)
-7.6%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
59.3% (1,975)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
46.3% (806)
-6.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Suter shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Suter
Hertl
Home
46.8% (1,804)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Suter
Hertl
P1
46.6%
53.6%
P2
46.0%
54.1%
P3
46.1%
55.3%
OT
44.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |