Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Holmberg wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.2% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Holmberg 76.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.9%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 58.4%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Holmberg
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Holmberg
Kuraly
Last 10: Holmberg 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Holmberg
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Holmberg
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
4
3
Holmberg
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (673)
51.5% (5,141)
-6.0%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
56.0% (100)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
44.2% (1,086)
+1.7%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Holmberg is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Holmberg shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Kuraly
Home
46.7% (418)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.5% (337)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Holmberg
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
41.1%
49.9%
P3
42.5%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |