Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 49.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 55.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Holmberg
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Holmberg
Kuraly
Last 7: Holmberg 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Holmberg
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Holmberg
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
3
0
Holmberg
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (245)
55.3% (515)
-6.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.6% (9)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (37)
44.8% (58)
+3.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Holmberg shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Kuraly
Home
50.3% (147)
57.3% (293)
Away
47.1% (138)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Holmberg
Kuraly
P1
59.2%
53.8%
P2
40.0%
51.5%
P3
46.9%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |