Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Holmberg wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 44.8% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 92.4%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 53.8%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 72.8%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Holmberg
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Holmberg
Kuraly
Last 5: Holmberg 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Holmberg
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Holmberg
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (207)
49.2% (901)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
68.2% (22)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Holmberg is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Holmberg shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Kuraly
Home
40.9% (127)
51.7% (603)
Away
44.6% (92)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Holmberg
Kuraly
P1
47.8%
50.9%
P2
43.8%
49.5%
P3
37.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
34.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
42.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |