Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 49.1% vs Pinto 50.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 51.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 72.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 55.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Holmberg
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Holmberg
Pinto
Last 6: Holmberg 4-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
3
0
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Holmberg
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Holmberg
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (245)
50.4% (779)
-1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.2% (29)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (37)
44.9% (78)
+3.7%
On power play, Pinto has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Holmberg shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Pinto
Home
50.3% (147)
52.4% (454)
Away
47.1% (138)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Holmberg
Pinto
P1
59.2%
48.1%
P2
40.0%
52.9%
P3
46.9%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |