Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Holmberg wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.2% vs Pinto 50.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 51.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 73.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 61.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Holmberg
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Holmberg
Pinto
Last 9: Holmberg 5-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
3
0
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Holmberg
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (673)
50.6% (2,716)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
54.4% (90)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
44.9% (234)
+1.0%
On even strength, Pinto has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Holmberg is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Holmberg shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Pinto
Home
46.7% (418)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
44.5% (337)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Holmberg
Pinto
P1
53.5%
48.3%
P2
41.1%
51.7%
P3
42.5%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |