Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Byfield 45.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 71.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 62.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Hughes
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hughes
Byfield
Last 5: Hughes 2-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Hughes
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
46.5% (759)
-9.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
50.0% (58)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
35.1% (148)
-1.8%
On power play, Byfield has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Hughes
Byfield
Home
35.1% (148)
46.2% (442)
Away
37.4% (131)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Hughes
Byfield
P1
43.0%
44.1%
P2
28.7%
43.5%
P3
35.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
28.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |