Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Byfield wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 42.7% vs Steel 50.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 53.2%
Defensive zone
Byfield 59.3%
Neutral zone
Byfield 52.1%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Byfield
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Byfield
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Byfield
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (570)
51.3% (195)
-7.8%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
71.4% (7)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
31.9% (135)
43.2% (37)
-11.3%
On power play, Steel has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Byfield is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Byfield shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Byfield
Steel
Home
42.7% (363)
50.0% (100)
Away
40.9% (394)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Byfield
Steel
P1
40.6%
49.4%
P2
39.5%
48.1%
P3
44.9%
55.9%
OT
41.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
41.7%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sam Steel |