Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Byfield wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.4% vs Steel 50.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.2%
Defensive zone
Byfield 59.3%
Neutral zone
Byfield 52.8%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Byfield
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Byfield
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Byfield
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (759)
52.5% (200)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (148)
40.0% (45)
-4.9%
On power play, Steel has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Byfield shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Byfield
Steel
Home
46.2% (442)
49.5% (109)
Away
44.0% (523)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Byfield
Steel
P1
44.1%
49.5%
P2
43.5%
47.5%
P3
47.7%
56.6%
OT
39.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sam Steel |