Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 46.6% vs Steel 49.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 60.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Byfield
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Byfield
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Byfield
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (262)
49.3% (383)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
14.3% (7)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Byfield is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Byfield shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Byfield
Steel
Home
43.0% (114)
49.4% (180)
Away
47.2% (159)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Byfield
Steel
P1
46.5%
51.9%
P2
41.9%
43.8%
P3
47.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
45.4%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |