Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Byfield wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 51.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 55.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 50.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Byfield
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Byfield
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Byfield
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Byfield
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
52.4% (853)
-7.9%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
58.6% (174)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
46.5% (144)
-8.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Byfield shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Byfield
Monahan
Home
43.8% (502)
53.4% (624)
Away
44.3% (440)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Byfield
Monahan
P1
44.2%
53.7%
P2
43.0%
52.4%
P3
45.0%
51.6%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |