Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 79.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Byfield
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Byfield
Monahan
Last 10: Byfield 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
0
Byfield
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (759)
53.2% (823)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
55.3% (159)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (148)
48.4% (95)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Byfield shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Byfield
Monahan
Home
46.2% (442)
54.6% (529)
Away
44.0% (523)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Byfield
Monahan
P1
44.1%
49.0%
P2
43.5%
55.4%
P3
47.7%
53.6%
OT
39.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |