Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Byfield wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 62.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 56.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Byfield
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Byfield
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
53.0% (400)
-8.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
33.3% (12)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
45.5% (44)
-7.3%
On power play, Byfield has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Byfield shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nosek
Home
43.8% (502)
49.6% (244)
Away
44.3% (440)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Byfield
Nosek
P1
44.2%
53.1%
P2
43.0%
51.4%
P3
45.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
40.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
44.1%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |