Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 43.8% vs Nosek 53.9% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 64.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 54.9%
Neutral zone
Byfield 63.0%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Byfield
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Byfield
Nosek
Last 8: Byfield 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Byfield
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (1,918)
55.0% (2,608)
-10.7%
Power Play
46.2% (106)
43.5% (46)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (212)
48.6% (397)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Byfield is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,515).
Byfield shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nosek
Home
44.0% (1,084)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
43.1% (1,152)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Byfield
Nosek
P1
44.0%
52.5%
P2
42.4%
54.7%
P3
44.3%
54.6%
OT
43.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
43.5%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |