Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 58.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 54.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 55.9%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Byfield
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Byfield
Nosek
Last 8: Byfield 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Byfield
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (2,107)
54.9% (2,674)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.3% (112)
44.7% (47)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (225)
47.4% (424)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Byfield shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nosek
Home
45.2% (1,163)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
44.1% (1,281)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Byfield
Nosek
P1
45.0%
52.3%
P2
43.7%
54.0%
P3
45.5%
54.6%
OT
41.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |