Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Faksa 55.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 70.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Tavares
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Faksa
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Faksa
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
56.7% (413)
+0.8%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
56.3% (16)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
53.7% (123)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Tavares
Faksa
Home
61.0% (661)
56.3% (261)
Away
55.3% (584)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Tavares
Faksa
P1
58.6%
58.6%
P2
57.8%
55.0%
P3
58.4%
55.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |